Disclaimer
All opinions and views in this blog is entirely mine, and does not reflect any organization that I am affiliated with. And please exercise careful judgment when trading securities. Nothing in this blog should be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any securities. You do so at your own risk, and do not blame others if the outcome is not in your favour. In case you are wondering, I do not have any securities trading account with any brokerage firms or investment banks.
Friday, August 15, 2014
Thursday, August 14, 2014
Citi Research - Maxis Vulnerable as TM Grows its LTE Business
Folks,
Here is the latest article that I wrote on telecommunications industry, which was published today (Thursday, Aug 14, 2014).
The article is largely based on the recent report by Citi Research, a division of Citigroup Global Markets Inc.
The original report can be read here.
In general, Citi Research is "broadly underweight" on the overall Malaysian telecommunications sector citing weak earnings growth outlook, premium valuations and compressed yields.
As for its recommendations, Citi Research has:
Here is the latest article that I wrote on telecommunications industry, which was published today (Thursday, Aug 14, 2014).
The article is largely based on the recent report by Citi Research, a division of Citigroup Global Markets Inc.
![]() |
| Source: The Edge Financial Daily, Thursday, August 14, 2014, page 5 |
In general, Citi Research is "broadly underweight" on the overall Malaysian telecommunications sector citing weak earnings growth outlook, premium valuations and compressed yields.
As for its recommendations, Citi Research has:
- "Sell" for Maxis and Telekom Malaysia
- "Neutral" for DiGi and Axiata
Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Taliworks corporate exercise
Peeps,
Something interesting is brewing in engineering outfit Taliworks Corp Bhd.
Taliworks is an investment holding company involved in water treatment and supply, waste management
via operations and maintenance (O&M) contract and concession, construction and toll concession
This can be traced from the recent performance of its share price, which rose as high as RM1.42 per share and then retreated to some RM1.34 per share and noon today.
The highest price of the stock peaked at RM1.43 per share last Friday, the highest since Jnaruary 11, 2011.Based on the the share price of RM1.39 yesterday, Taliworks has a market capitalisation of RM606.72 million.
Well, this company came to my radar a few months back, and I had the opportunity to attend and interview–along with other reporters–the soft-spoken CEO, Ronnie Lim Yew Boon, after it convened its annual general meeting on June 18, 2014 at Sime Darby Convention Center.
Here is the article that I wrote on Taliworks, which was published on Thursday, June 19, 2014.
The article above talks about Taliworks not selling its highway to other parties.
The very reason for this statement was in response to my question to him, which I cited that SILK Holdings Bhd had announced earlier that it is selling its 100% stake in Sistem Lingkaran-Lebuhraya Kajang Sdn Bhd to IJM Corp Bhd for RM398 million cash (click here).
Taliworks currently operates a 11.5km highway spanning from Kajang to Cheras. The highway currently collect two tolls:- one is at Batu 9 Toll Plaza (charge: RM0.90) and one is at Batu 11 Toll Plaza (charge:RM1.00). The toll road provides a steady and recurring income to Taliworks.
Last year, Taliworks recorded an average daily traffic of 137,936. On segmental basis, the average daily traffic at Batu 9 and Batu 11 toll plazas amounted to 74,083 and 63,853.
A simple calculation would yield RM66,674.70 and RM63,853 in daily revenues for toll plazas at Batu 9 and Batu 11 respectively, totalling RM130,527.70 of daily revenue for the highway.
On yearly basis, the revenue for Batu 9 and Batu 11 highways would yield RM24,336,265.50 and RM23,306,345.00, totalling RM47,642,610.50.
If you look at the annual report (click here, go to page 103), Taliworks recorded a total revenue of RM332,404,000 (RM332.40 million), and based on the simple arithmetic that I did–which was not verified by any parties, by the way)–the toll road contributed about 14.33% to the group's total revenue.
The figure for its toll highway revenue, however, was not present in Taliworks annual report 2013. Perhaps, for reasons of confidentiality, I suppose.
Interestingly, the highway toll segment contributed 16.6% to Taliworks' pre-tax profit of RM10.08 million which inched 2% from RM9.81 million in 2012.
In my view, a toll highway is a good recurring income for a company, and selling the asset must be totally and seriously justified.
Anyway.
Yesterday, Taliworks told Bursa Malaysia that EPF bought 32% stakes in its highway from Taliworks.
Chronology
This can be traced back from the announcement by Taliworks to Bursa Malaysia last week, on Friday, August 8, 2014 (click here).
Last week, Taliworks also announced to Bursa Malaysia that it is reorganizing the company, whereby, previously, Taliworks held a direct 55% equity interest in Cerah Sama Sdn Bhd, which is the holding company of Grand Saga Sdn Bhd, the operator of the 11.5 km highway spanning from Cheras to Kajang.
Shareholders having stakes in Cerah Sama Sdn Bhd include Taliworks (55%), The South East Asian Strategic Assets Fund or SEASAF (35%) and Trinitywin Sdn Bhd (10%).
Taliworks said that after the re-organisation, its economic interests in Cerah Sama Sdn Bhd remain at 55%, and becomes its subsidiary.
The new organization chart is as follows:
Then yesterday, on August 11, 2014, Taliworks told Bursa Malaysia that pension fund Employees Provident Fund (EPF) is buying 49% stake in Pinggiran Infrastructure Sdn Bhd, via Pinggiran Ventures Sdn Bhd for RM68.683 million, comprising10,000 ordinary shares of RM1.00 each and 68,673,000 redeemable non-cumulative preference shares of RM0.001.
The purchase is also equivalent to EPF's indirect interest of 31.85% in Cerah Sama, while Taliworks' stake will be diluted to 23.15%.
Following the announcement yesterday, the above organisation chart should change a bit, in the sense that Pinggiran Ventures is now wholly-owned by the EPF. What I am trying to say here is that the line linking Pinggiran Ventures to Pinggiran Muhibbah Sdn Bhd should be removed.
Anyway.
What this corporate exercise will mean is that Pinggiran Muhibbah, the wholly-owned subsidiary will own a 51% equity interest in Pinggiran Infrastructure while EPF will indirectly own the balance 49% through its stakes in Pinggiran Ventures Sdn Bhd.
Reasons for Acquisition
In an announcement to Bursa Malaysia, Taliworks said that Pinggiran Infrastructure will be the new growth engine, and it will be targeting acquisitions of operating infrastructure assets with “predictable cashflows”.
This sentiment was similarly echoed by Taliworks to me when I attended the annual general meeting few months back. From the tone they told me a few month back, Taliworks seem set to gear-up for new growth.
Taliworks added that its long and established track record in toll roads, water treatment and waste management will contribute the deal sourcing and operational expertise to this joint venture.
So something is definitely positively brewing in Taliworks. I wonder what will be next
I wish the company well in its endeavour!
++
Financial Performance
Below is the snapshot of Taliworks' financial performance in the last five years
Something interesting is brewing in engineering outfit Taliworks Corp Bhd.
Taliworks is an investment holding company involved in water treatment and supply, waste management
via operations and maintenance (O&M) contract and concession, construction and toll concession
This can be traced from the recent performance of its share price, which rose as high as RM1.42 per share and then retreated to some RM1.34 per share and noon today.
The highest price of the stock peaked at RM1.43 per share last Friday, the highest since Jnaruary 11, 2011.Based on the the share price of RM1.39 yesterday, Taliworks has a market capitalisation of RM606.72 million.
![]() |
| Source: Bursa Malaysia |
Here is the article that I wrote on Taliworks, which was published on Thursday, June 19, 2014.
![]() |
| Source: The Edge Financial Daily, Thursday, June 19, 2014, page 7. |
The article above talks about Taliworks not selling its highway to other parties.
The very reason for this statement was in response to my question to him, which I cited that SILK Holdings Bhd had announced earlier that it is selling its 100% stake in Sistem Lingkaran-Lebuhraya Kajang Sdn Bhd to IJM Corp Bhd for RM398 million cash (click here).
Taliworks currently operates a 11.5km highway spanning from Kajang to Cheras. The highway currently collect two tolls:- one is at Batu 9 Toll Plaza (charge: RM0.90) and one is at Batu 11 Toll Plaza (charge:RM1.00). The toll road provides a steady and recurring income to Taliworks.
Last year, Taliworks recorded an average daily traffic of 137,936. On segmental basis, the average daily traffic at Batu 9 and Batu 11 toll plazas amounted to 74,083 and 63,853.
A simple calculation would yield RM66,674.70 and RM63,853 in daily revenues for toll plazas at Batu 9 and Batu 11 respectively, totalling RM130,527.70 of daily revenue for the highway.
On yearly basis, the revenue for Batu 9 and Batu 11 highways would yield RM24,336,265.50 and RM23,306,345.00, totalling RM47,642,610.50.
If you look at the annual report (click here, go to page 103), Taliworks recorded a total revenue of RM332,404,000 (RM332.40 million), and based on the simple arithmetic that I did–which was not verified by any parties, by the way)–the toll road contributed about 14.33% to the group's total revenue.
The figure for its toll highway revenue, however, was not present in Taliworks annual report 2013. Perhaps, for reasons of confidentiality, I suppose.
Interestingly, the highway toll segment contributed 16.6% to Taliworks' pre-tax profit of RM10.08 million which inched 2% from RM9.81 million in 2012.
In my view, a toll highway is a good recurring income for a company, and selling the asset must be totally and seriously justified.
Anyway.
Yesterday, Taliworks told Bursa Malaysia that EPF bought 32% stakes in its highway from Taliworks.
![]() |
| Source: The Edge Financial Daily, August 12, 2014, page 5 |
This can be traced back from the announcement by Taliworks to Bursa Malaysia last week, on Friday, August 8, 2014 (click here).
Last week, Taliworks also announced to Bursa Malaysia that it is reorganizing the company, whereby, previously, Taliworks held a direct 55% equity interest in Cerah Sama Sdn Bhd, which is the holding company of Grand Saga Sdn Bhd, the operator of the 11.5 km highway spanning from Cheras to Kajang.
Shareholders having stakes in Cerah Sama Sdn Bhd include Taliworks (55%), The South East Asian Strategic Assets Fund or SEASAF (35%) and Trinitywin Sdn Bhd (10%).
Taliworks said that after the re-organisation, its economic interests in Cerah Sama Sdn Bhd remain at 55%, and becomes its subsidiary.
TCB [Taliworks] has recently completed a strategic review of its businesses, strengths and weaknesses and opportunities for growth as well as how best to implement a dividend policy of a stable and growing dividend for its shareholders to better reflect the stable cash-flow generating characteristic of infrastructure projects. As a result of this review, TCB will be actively pursuing operating infrastructure projects in developed markets. The purpose of this Re-organisation is to create a new holding company above Cerah Sama to pursue this growth strategy.The holding company above Cerah Sama is now Pinggiran Infrastructure Sdn Bhd.
The new organization chart is as follows:
![]() |
| Source: Taliworks as announced in Bursa Malaysia (click here) |
Then yesterday, on August 11, 2014, Taliworks told Bursa Malaysia that pension fund Employees Provident Fund (EPF) is buying 49% stake in Pinggiran Infrastructure Sdn Bhd, via Pinggiran Ventures Sdn Bhd for RM68.683 million, comprising10,000 ordinary shares of RM1.00 each and 68,673,000 redeemable non-cumulative preference shares of RM0.001.
The purchase is also equivalent to EPF's indirect interest of 31.85% in Cerah Sama, while Taliworks' stake will be diluted to 23.15%.
Following the announcement yesterday, the above organisation chart should change a bit, in the sense that Pinggiran Ventures is now wholly-owned by the EPF. What I am trying to say here is that the line linking Pinggiran Ventures to Pinggiran Muhibbah Sdn Bhd should be removed.
Anyway.
What this corporate exercise will mean is that Pinggiran Muhibbah, the wholly-owned subsidiary will own a 51% equity interest in Pinggiran Infrastructure while EPF will indirectly own the balance 49% through its stakes in Pinggiran Ventures Sdn Bhd.
Reasons for Acquisition
In an announcement to Bursa Malaysia, Taliworks said that Pinggiran Infrastructure will be the new growth engine, and it will be targeting acquisitions of operating infrastructure assets with “predictable cashflows”.
This sentiment was similarly echoed by Taliworks to me when I attended the annual general meeting few months back. From the tone they told me a few month back, Taliworks seem set to gear-up for new growth.
Taliworks added that its long and established track record in toll roads, water treatment and waste management will contribute the deal sourcing and operational expertise to this joint venture.
So something is definitely positively brewing in Taliworks. I wonder what will be next
I wish the company well in its endeavour!
++
Financial Performance
Below is the snapshot of Taliworks' financial performance in the last five years
![]() |
| Source: Taliworks Annual Report 2013 (click here) |
Monday, August 11, 2014
Lifeline for Malaysian Airline System Bhd
Folks,
Last Friday, the Malaysian Airline System Bhd, otherwise known as Malaysia Airlines or simply MAS, made an announcement to Bursa Malaysia on its turnaround plan. Well, the plan was actually engineered by its major shareholder Khazanah Nasional Bhd which holds 69.37% stake in MAS, while the remaining 30.63% are held by other stakeholders.
The corporate exercise, known as Selective Capital Reduction, would mean that Khazanah Nasional is working to take the airline private or de-listing from floating on Bursa Malaysia.
Khazanah Nasional has proposed to pay 27 sen per share to minority shareholders, and with this, it will be able to take MAS private. MAS was last traded at 24 sen, last week. Paying this amount would cost Khazanah Nasional some RM1.3 billion.
The letter from Khazanah Nasional to MAS can be read here. And the detail outline can be found here.
Current Shareholding Structure
At the moment, of the 30.63% that are not owned by MAS, 20.4% is free float which means that anyone can buy the share through the trading system. The remaining 10.23% are held by minority shareholders, and they are:-
Analyst Recommendations
According to investment analysts, most of them agreed that the minority shareholders should accept the offer from Khazanah Nasional.
The report from the analysts are shown below for your consumption.
Source: Research Reports
Financial Results
According to one analyst, MAS is currently burning some cash at a rate of RM5 million daily. It currently have some RM3 billion cash, and analyst predicts that it will "wither sooner than many may think".
Let us take a look at its financial performance to date:
The following is the financial performance of MAS in the past five years:
Now, let us take a look at the route revenue and overall load factor. The route revenue is the income that MAS obtained for flying to a particular destination in a particular region, while the load factor measures the capacity utilization of the airline (the number of people it flies to a particular destination):
Many analysts have opined that MAS should cut unprofitable route, and only fly to destination that would rake significant profits. Further analysis on this need to be done in order to appreciate the issue in further depth. Percentage wise, the chart below will explain further:
As for the upcoming financial results, which will be announced soon, Maybank IB Research Mohshin Aziz told The Star that:
My Opinion
I do not have any shares in MAS, therefore my opinion is free from being biased.
However, I do want to see MAS return to the black (meaning, return to profitability). There will be hurdles, and yes, it will take some time for them to achieve the results that they so desire.
But along the way, I suggest the following (basic and drastic!) steps to be taken:-
With all the arguments presented above, I urge all minority shareholders to accept the offer from Khazanah Nasional amounting to 27 sen per share.
And to Khazanah Nasional, I wish you all the best in your endeavor to bring the prestigious airline back to its former glory days!
Last Friday, the Malaysian Airline System Bhd, otherwise known as Malaysia Airlines or simply MAS, made an announcement to Bursa Malaysia on its turnaround plan. Well, the plan was actually engineered by its major shareholder Khazanah Nasional Bhd which holds 69.37% stake in MAS, while the remaining 30.63% are held by other stakeholders.
The corporate exercise, known as Selective Capital Reduction, would mean that Khazanah Nasional is working to take the airline private or de-listing from floating on Bursa Malaysia.
Khazanah Nasional has proposed to pay 27 sen per share to minority shareholders, and with this, it will be able to take MAS private. MAS was last traded at 24 sen, last week. Paying this amount would cost Khazanah Nasional some RM1.3 billion.
The letter from Khazanah Nasional to MAS can be read here. And the detail outline can be found here.
Current Shareholding Structure
At the moment, of the 30.63% that are not owned by MAS, 20.4% is free float which means that anyone can buy the share through the trading system. The remaining 10.23% are held by minority shareholders, and they are:-
- Pemodalan Nasional Bhd through Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera (1.66%)
- Great Eastern Life Assurance (0.60%)
- Norges Bank Investment Management (0.29%)
- State Financial Secretary (0.27%)
- Mega First Housing Development (0.19%)
- Employees Provident Fund (0.18%)
- OSK Capital Paartners (0.13%)
Analyst Recommendations
According to investment analysts, most of them agreed that the minority shareholders should accept the offer from Khazanah Nasional.
The report from the analysts are shown below for your consumption.
|
#
|
Research House
|
Research Title
|
Recommendation
|
Selected Quotes
|
|
1
|
AllianceDBS by Alliance Investment Bank
(click here to read)
|
Time To Say Goodbye
|
Accept Offer
|
“Khazanah
intends to execute a restructuring plan for MAS post-delisting. Substantial amount
of capital will need to be injected for this purpose. Hence, the entry of a
strategic partner cannot
be ruled out.”
“As
part of the restructuring, we expect MAS to realign/downsize its network and
withdraw from unprofitable routes. This would remove the excess capacity
within the industry, and bring yields to more sustainable levels, while
benefiting the other domestic airlines (AirAsia, AAX).”
|
|
2
|
RHB Research by RHB Investment Bank
(click here to read)
|
Exit The Turbulent Flight
|
Accept Offer
|
“This
gives minorities an opportunity to exit MAS at a slight premium, which is a preferred
scenario vs bankruptcy.”
“Khazanah
believes the proposed privatisation would give it more flexibility to execute
the restructuring plan and put in place an appropriate capital structure”
“We
expect MAS to be relisted once a sustainable turnaround is made.”
|
|
3
|
AmResearch by AmInvestment Bank
(click here to read)
|
To claw back some, or to commit more?
|
Accept Offer
|
“We think there is a fair chance for the
proposal’s success. Firstly, minority
shareholding in MAS is well distributed.”
“Secondly, the deal values MAS at a decent FY14F
PBV of 1.6x.”
“Thirdly, the offer is at the highest end of
consensus’ fair
value range of RM0.10 / share - RM0.27 / share (mean: RM0.18 / share).”
“In essence, investors face the decision whether to take back some of
what has been sunk into MAS, which admittedly is quite painful, or otherwise,
commit more and
risk
losing some or all of that too, which can be equally or even more painful
judging by the absence of success in the countless restructuring plans (and
cash calls) at MAS over the past decade”
|
|
4
|
MIDF Research by MIDF Amanah Investment Bank
(click here to read)
|
Privatisation to pave the way for restructuring
|
Accept Offer
|
“We
see the SCR exercise as a good opportunity for shareholders to exit the
stock. Based on our estimates,
we
expect MAS’ airline operations to remain loss-making over the next
few
years premised on the current weak yield environment and high jet fuel price.”
|
|
5
|
Maybank IB Research by Maybank Investment Bank
(click here to read)
|
Khazanah Privatisation Offer
|
Accept Offer
|
“We opine that the offer price of MYR0.27 is fair
and is a good exit price for shareholders. We expect MAS‟ upcoming 2Q14 results to be the weakest ever due to the triple impact
of: i) a seasonally weakest quarter, for 2Q; ii) the industry continues to be
plagued by very weak yields stemming from oversupply and muted demand; and
iii) flight cancellations at MAS (76) to date, from China to Sabah) which
will weigh on fixed overheads.”
“Assuming there was no privatisation offer, our
target price for MAS is MYR0.125 which is based on 1.0x FY15 P/BV. Even then,
we assume a capital raising is necessary in order for MAS to sustain
operations beyond 2015.”
|
|
6
|
HLIB Research by Hong Leong Investment Bank
(click here to read)
|
Privatization on the Table
|
Accept Offer
|
“The
outlook of MAS is of great concern, given the national airline
has been suffering core losses since FY2009. The upcoming
2Q14 performance is expected be the worst, due
to
the after-effect of MH370 incident (March 2014) in
lowering
load-factor and passenger yields. The recent MH17 incident (July 2014) has
further worsen passenger demand.”
“MAS
has undergone 3 times of restructuring and fundraising exercises
since 2007, which has not yielded turnarounds due to heavy competitions
(especially from LCCs), changing market demand, sub-par economy growth, ineffective management and high cost structure.”
“Following
the privatization, we expect MAS to cut long haul routes,
(as MAS can still leverage on Oneworld Alliance) and
concentrate on shorter regional and domestic networks, as well as downsize
the aircraft fleet and staff number.”
|
Financial Results
According to one analyst, MAS is currently burning some cash at a rate of RM5 million daily. It currently have some RM3 billion cash, and analyst predicts that it will "wither sooner than many may think".
Let us take a look at its financial performance to date:
- In the first three months of 2014 (1Q14), MAS reported a net loss of RM279 million, its biggest net loss over two years, and its fifth consecutive quarter of losses.
- Last year (FY13), MAS registered a staggering net loss of RM1.17 billion.
The following is the financial performance of MAS in the past five years:
![]() |
Source: Annual Report 2013 |
Now, let us take a look at the route revenue and overall load factor. The route revenue is the income that MAS obtained for flying to a particular destination in a particular region, while the load factor measures the capacity utilization of the airline (the number of people it flies to a particular destination):
![]() |
| Source: Annual Report 2013 |
Many analysts have opined that MAS should cut unprofitable route, and only fly to destination that would rake significant profits. Further analysis on this need to be done in order to appreciate the issue in further depth. Percentage wise, the chart below will explain further:
![]() |
| Source: Annual Report 2013 |
As for the upcoming financial results, which will be announced soon, Maybank IB Research Mohshin Aziz told The Star that:
the results will be awful perhaps the worst in its history. When that happens, it will definitely spook every-one and evaporate any hope for a revised offer.Such a strong-worded statement from an analyst must not be taken with a pinch of salt, let alone a belacan, but it must be treated with the highest amount of care and concern!
My Opinion
I do not have any shares in MAS, therefore my opinion is free from being biased.
However, I do want to see MAS return to the black (meaning, return to profitability). There will be hurdles, and yes, it will take some time for them to achieve the results that they so desire.
But along the way, I suggest the following (basic and drastic!) steps to be taken:-
- Remove and replace all senior management team, including the CEO, SVP and VP. With all due respect, the time has come for them to either retire or find another job, and let a fresh team to execute a plan. Especially for the post of a CEO. You have to find the person with necessary experiences in the airline industry. Managing airline is not the same as managing some factory, utility or a bank. It requires deeper understanding of the aviation industry. And the senior leadership team should be given a contract of 5-years as returning to profitability for a company of the size of MAS, in my opinion, will not be able to achieve profitability in the next one or two years. It will take time, and five years is a good time.
- Reduce manpower. That being said, it is inevitable that manpower must be reduced. As at Dec 31, 2013, MAS has some 19,577 employees. Compare this with AirAsia, they have around 10,000 employees. It was also reported that currently, human resources chalk about 14% to 15% of MAS's total costs. That is quite a significant value. And furthermore, it was reported that MAS intend to cut its employee salaries by 30%. I think that is the right thing to do, besides reducing their manpower. If a company is profitable, then it can be translated into fat bonuses, and should be run to the red, then some sort of measures must be taken–the last which, if ever necessary, is to cut the salary of the employees, with the CEO's remuneration to be slashed the highest. I understand that the unison will totally disagree with this, but in order to be healthy, you need to go through some pain. Likewise, in order to see colourful rainbow, you need to face the rain, and in order for a mother to see a beautiful baby, it must go through the period of conceive. The reduction of manpower should be given via separation scheme, and not simply through random firing.
- Come up with a 5-year transformation plan. The new team must engage consultants or establish their own "lab program", much like PEMANDU, and draw a 5-year strategic plan. The plan, if deem fit, can be presented to the media. Hopefully, with this plan, MAS would return to profitability.
With all the arguments presented above, I urge all minority shareholders to accept the offer from Khazanah Nasional amounting to 27 sen per share.
And to Khazanah Nasional, I wish you all the best in your endeavor to bring the prestigious airline back to its former glory days!
Thursday, August 7, 2014
Bank Negara Malaysia suggests ATM card for ASEAN
Folks,
This is interesting. In a recent speech by Bank Negara Malaysia deputy governor Dato' Muhammad bin Ibrahim (you can find the link here), he hopes for a one bank card for ASEAN.
I think this would benefit us all. But the issue that needs to be tackled first, should we wish to proceed in having universal ASEAN bank card, would be security.
Maybe this idea would come to fruition one day.
I don’t think this idea will be impossible–in fact, it should not be discounted at all–especially the Asean Economic Community set to materialize next year.
Some key points which could also be found in his speech include:-
I enjoyed it!
This is interesting. In a recent speech by Bank Negara Malaysia deputy governor Dato' Muhammad bin Ibrahim (you can find the link here), he hopes for a one bank card for ASEAN.
“… I hope that one day we would have one card for ASEAN, where ATM cards issued by any bank in the ASEAN countries can be used to transact within the ASEAN region.”Such a statement or rather an opinion is viewed quite strong, more so if it comes from an authoritative figure.
I think this would benefit us all. But the issue that needs to be tackled first, should we wish to proceed in having universal ASEAN bank card, would be security.
Maybe this idea would come to fruition one day.
I don’t think this idea will be impossible–in fact, it should not be discounted at all–especially the Asean Economic Community set to materialize next year.
Some key points which could also be found in his speech include:-
- Some staggering 2.5 billion people across the world are still unbanked – that is, they have no banking account! Oh my.
- The central bank wish to see that the number of cheques processed per year be reduced to 100 million by 2020 from 207 million in 2010.
- The central bank targets the per capital e-payment transaction from 43 in 2010 to 200 by 2020, and the per capital debit transactions from 0.6 in 2010 to 30 by 2020. I think this is a good move. Everyone is rapidly using internet (e-payment) to pay their bills, purchase things and perform many other transactions. Thus, it is heartening to see the target of 30 by 2020.
- The debit card penetration is quite high, with 19.2 million “active” cards-in circulation, which is almost equal to the bankable population of 20.4 million adults. The word active here refers to at least one transaction via debit card per month.
- Meanwhile, there are 5.5 million active credit cards, with per capita transaction of 11.3 last year.
- What this means is that there are six credit card transactions for every one debit card transaction.
- As at end-2013, Malaysia has a high mobile phone penetration of 144 per 100 inhabitants. As for broadband penetration, there are 67 per 100 households.
- As at end-May 2014, there are 2,935 bank branches and 5,802 agents under the agent banking network nationwide.
- As for financial inclusion, he said that it is a “global agenda to ensure that all segments of the society, including the most vulnerable groups, have access and usage of quality and affordable financial services.” The focus to drive financial inclusion to the next level, via the use of e-payments include:-
- Correcting price distortions and promoting competition – Bank Negara has introduced “pricing reformm network”, where the price of Inter-Bank Giro (IBG) and cheques are aligned closer to their cost of production. For example, Bank Negara Malaysia has reduced the charge fee for online transaction from RM2 previously to 10 sen currently. This saw a significant improvement, where the IBG transaction volume grew at a higher rate of 45.6% on a year-on-year basis for the first half of 2014 (1H14) compared to 12.4% for the same period last year. Likewise, cheques declined at a faster pace of 9.8% or 10 million cheques in 1H14 compared to 2% or 2 million cheques in 1H13. That is a lot of improvement, folks.
- Development and sharing of infrastructure investments -- the importance of collective industry efforts to develop and share infrastructure cannot be emphasised enough, he said. Infrastructure development is very expensive and the banking industry ought to share the required investments. It should not be used as a competitive tool but rather as an enabler that would promote modernisation of the payment system.
- Strengthening transaction security -- according to Muhammad, Malaysia is the first country in the Asia Pacific region to migrate from magnetic strip cards to chip-based payment cards. This transition, he said, was completed in 2005 despite the initial resistance by the industry. It had successfully eradicated cases of fraudulent skimming or counterfeiting of payment cards. The investment cost of RM200 million was recovered within two and a half years from fraud avoidance.
- Consumer protection and education
I enjoyed it!
Exim Bank
Hey folks,
Now, I want to talk about Export-Import Bank of Malaysia Bhd, or fondly known as Exim Bank. Well, as the name suggests, Exim Bank is not any normal bank -- they don't take deposits from customers, hence they are not a retail bank. They don't offer credit cards or consumer products, but they deal mainly on the export and import aspect of the business.
In other words, they facilitate trade for Malaysian companies wishing to venture overseas. As mentioned in the previous post, I interviewed Exim Bank president and chief executive officer Datuk Adissadikin Ali, just a week before hari raya. The article was published in The Edge Financial Daily on Monday, 4 August 2014. The article refers below:
The article I wrote was further carried by Astro Awani in their television news.
Here is a bit about Exim Bank from my own analysis:
1. Shareholder Structure
Exim Bank is wholly-owned by The Ministry of Finance Inc., however, the bank reports and is being regulated by the Central Bank of Malaysia (Bank Negara Malaysia).
2. Mandate
The creation of the bank was mandated by the government. The mandate is as follows:
The bank has a good credit rating of A- (by Fitch) and A3 (by Moody's).
4. Main Business
The bank offers both conventional and Islamic solutions. It provides trade financing and trade credit insurance and takaful (Islamic insurance).
In terms of coverage, the bank has business transactions and facilities for customers in 77 countries across 5
continents.
The presentation below outlines the area of business that Exim Bank is involved:
5. Financial Highlights
You can always refer to the annual reports to understand the financial performance of a particular organisation. However, it can be quite tedious reading annual reports, and below is the summary of the financial performance of the bank, in terms of revenue and net profit.
Source: Exim Bank annual reports
When analyzing the financial performance of the bank, you need to always be mindful of how the bank makes money. In this case, the bank makes money through the interest they charge to the customers. Hence, the more loans they disburse, the more interest they can charge and the more revenue they will make.
In the above table, look at the third and fourth row -- interest income and net interest income. These are crucial information on the income of the bank. You can learn about the concept of net interest income here.
6. Asset Quality
In banking, an asset is the loan that the bank gives out (lend) to other people. Hence, when give out loans, they must ensure that their asset is of the highest quality -- that is, the loans are paid on time, and provided to "quality" individual or corporations.
According to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) in the US:
Let us look at the asset quality of Exim Bank:
Now, I want to talk about Export-Import Bank of Malaysia Bhd, or fondly known as Exim Bank. Well, as the name suggests, Exim Bank is not any normal bank -- they don't take deposits from customers, hence they are not a retail bank. They don't offer credit cards or consumer products, but they deal mainly on the export and import aspect of the business.
In other words, they facilitate trade for Malaysian companies wishing to venture overseas. As mentioned in the previous post, I interviewed Exim Bank president and chief executive officer Datuk Adissadikin Ali, just a week before hari raya. The article was published in The Edge Financial Daily on Monday, 4 August 2014. The article refers below:
The article I wrote was further carried by Astro Awani in their television news.
1. Shareholder Structure
Exim Bank is wholly-owned by The Ministry of Finance Inc., however, the bank reports and is being regulated by the Central Bank of Malaysia (Bank Negara Malaysia).
2. Mandate
The creation of the bank was mandated by the government. The mandate is as follows:
To provide credit facilities to finance and support exports and imports of goods, services and overseas projects with emphasis on non-traditional markets as well as the provision of export credit insurance services, export financing insurance, overseas investments insurance and guarantee facilities.3. Credit Rating
The bank has a good credit rating of A- (by Fitch) and A3 (by Moody's).
4. Main Business
The bank offers both conventional and Islamic solutions. It provides trade financing and trade credit insurance and takaful (Islamic insurance).
In terms of coverage, the bank has business transactions and facilities for customers in 77 countries across 5
continents.
The presentation below outlines the area of business that Exim Bank is involved:
![]() |
| Source: Exim Bank |
5. Financial Highlights
You can always refer to the annual reports to understand the financial performance of a particular organisation. However, it can be quite tedious reading annual reports, and below is the summary of the financial performance of the bank, in terms of revenue and net profit.
|
Financial Year
|
Ended Dec 31, 2013 (FY13)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2012 (FY12)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2011 (FY11)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2010 (FY10)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2009 (FY09)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2008 (FY08)
|
|
Operating Revenue
|
RM274 mil
|
RM185 mil
|
RM 172 mil
|
RM135 mil
|
RM212mil
|
RM223 mil
|
|
Interest Income
|
RM269.99 mil
|
RM217.17 mil
|
RM215.00 mil
|
RM173.47 mil
|
RM188.84 mil
|
RM224.26 mil
|
|
Net Interest Income
|
RM178.64 mil
|
RM149.38 mil
|
RM172.02 mil
|
RM137.70 mil
|
RM149.86 mil
|
RM175.47 mil
|
|
Operating Profit
|
RM202.85 mil
|
RM185.40 mil
|
RM184.49 mil
|
RM102.62 mil
|
RM145.38 mil
|
RM195.55 mil
|
|
Profit Before Tax and Zakat
|
RM190.25 mil
|
RM169.74 mil
|
RM146.36 mil
|
RM (299.57) mil
|
RM52.50 mil
|
RM13.00 mil
|
|
Tax
|
RM44.84 mil
|
RM45.54 mil
|
RM53.80 mil
|
-
|
RM25.56 mil
|
RM3.13 mil
|
|
Zakat
|
RM695,000
|
RM429,000
|
RM318,000
|
RM476,000
|
-
|
-
|
|
Net Profit
|
RM144.72 mil
|
RM123.77 mil
|
RM200.47 mil
|
RM (300.01) mil
|
RM26.95 mil
|
RM16.13 mil
|
|
Earnings Per Share (sen)
|
5.34
|
4.57
|
7.40
|
(11.08)
|
0.99
|
0.90
|
When analyzing the financial performance of the bank, you need to always be mindful of how the bank makes money. In this case, the bank makes money through the interest they charge to the customers. Hence, the more loans they disburse, the more interest they can charge and the more revenue they will make.
In the above table, look at the third and fourth row -- interest income and net interest income. These are crucial information on the income of the bank. You can learn about the concept of net interest income here.
6. Asset Quality
In banking, an asset is the loan that the bank gives out (lend) to other people. Hence, when give out loans, they must ensure that their asset is of the highest quality -- that is, the loans are paid on time, and provided to "quality" individual or corporations.
According to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) in the US:
Asset quality is one of the most critical areas in determining the overall condition of a bank. The primary factor affecting overall asset quality is the quality of the loan portfolio and the credit administration program. Loans typically comprise a majority of a bank's assets and carry the greatest amount of risk to their capital. Securities may also comprise a large portion of the assets and also contain significant risks. Other items which can impact asset quality are other real estate, other assets, off-balance sheet items and, to a lesser extent, cash and due from accounts, and premises and fixed assets. (source: click here)In general, the asset quality of the bank is determined by the non-performing loans and impaired loans, which is usually express as a percentage. The higher the value, the lower (and bad) the quality of the bank's asset.
Let us look at the asset quality of Exim Bank:
|
Financial Year
|
Ended Dec 31, 2013 (FY13)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2012 (FY12)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2011 (FY11)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2010 (FY10)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2009 (FY09)
|
|
Gross Impaired Ratio (excluding ECR)
|
15.2%
|
22.2%
|
35.6%
|
50.0%
|
42.5%
|
|
Net
Impaired Ratio (excluding ECR)
|
8.2%
|
11.2%
|
18.1%
|
13.6%
|
23.8%
|
Source: Annual Report
As you can see, Exim Bank's asset quality was at its peak (50%) in FY10. But it had gradually tone down to some 15.2% as at FY13.
To achieve zero asset quality is almost impossible, thus, a banked told me that anything below 5% is actually quite good already.
7. Total Assets
Let us take a look at Exim Bank's total assets:
|
Financial Year
|
Ended Dec 31, 2013 (FY13)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2012 (FY12)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2011 (FY11)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2010 (FY10)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2009 (FY09)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2008 (FY08)
|
|
Total Assets
|
RM8.14 bil
|
RM7.26 bil
|
RM6.24 bil
|
RM5.60 bil
|
RM5.72 bil
|
RM5.54 bil
|
Source: Annual Report
Exim Bank aims to multiply its total assets to RM30 billion by 2018. This was expressed in its Phase 3 transformation plan:
![]() |
| Source: Exim Bank |
8. Islamic Business
Exim Bank began its Islamic banking business in 2009. In 2011, Exim Bank introduced credit takaful facilities, which adhered to the Shariah principles. Let us have a look at the total Islamic assets for both Islamic business and Takaful fund:
|
Financial Year
|
Ended Dec 31, 2013 (FY13)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2012 (FY12)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2011 (FY11)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2010 (FY10)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2009 (FY09)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2008 (FY08)
|
|
Islamic Business Fund
|
RM1.78 bil
|
RM704.57 mil
|
RM347.83 mil
|
RM168.85 mil
|
RM101.56 mil
|
-
|
|
Takaful
Fund
|
RM4.51
mil
|
RM1.94
mil
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
Total Assets
|
RM1.78 bil
|
RM706.51
mil
|
RM347.83
mil
|
RM168.85
mil
|
RM101.56
mil
|
-
|
Source: Annual Report
This is what Datuk Adissadikin said in his statement in Annual Report 2010:
In an effort to expand its customer base, Exim Bank is poised to tap the import market, particularly importers who are looking to re-export goods or buyers of strategic imports such as staple food items. This is an untapped market that offers promising prospects for the Bank going forward.
With the rise in demand for Shariah products, the Bank hopes to see more take-up of such offerings in the market. As the Middle East region continues to grow in importance for Malaysian exporters, the preference for Shariah financing, as well as trade credit Takaful is expected to grow too.
As can be seen from the table above, the total assets for its Islamic business recorded strong growth.
The table below shows the income statement of Exim Bank's Islamic business. Notice that both the revenue and profit jumped significantly.
Islamic Business Income Statement
|
Financial Year
|
Ended
Dec 31, 2013 (FY13)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2012 (FY12)
|
|
Income from Islamic Banking
|
RM62.79
mil
|
RM25.48 mil
|
|
Net
Income from Islamic Banking
|
RM56.77
mil
|
RM20.87
mil
|
|
Gross
Premium Contribution (Takaful)
|
RM3.19
mil
|
RM1.28
mil
|
|
Net
Income from Takaful
|
RM
(398,000)
|
RM
(442,000)
|
|
Total
Islamic Banking and Takaful Results
|
RM56.37
mil
|
RM20.43
mil
|
|
Profit/(Loss)
Before Tax and Zakat
|
RM33.68
mil
|
RM
(6.33) mil
|
|
Zakat
|
RM
(695,000)
|
RM429,000
|
|
Profit/(Loss)
|
RM32.98
mil
|
RM
(6.76) mil
|
Source: Annual Report
9. Exposure
The bank is constantly exposed to several sectors and region. And one of the indicator used when speaking to Exim Bank folks is the industry or sector that they are exposed, along with the region.
The table below shows the loan and guarantee exposure segregated by the sector:
Loan and Guarantee Exposure by Sector (including impairment)
|
Financial Year
|
Ended Dec 31, 2013 (FY13)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2012 (FY12)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2011 (FY11)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2010 (FY10)
|
|
Manufacturing Including Agro Based
|
21.3%
|
16.3%
|
13%
|
22%
|
|
Property
Development
|
12.1%
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
Electricity,
Gas & Water Supply
|
11.4%
|
8.6%
|
1%
|
-
|
|
Construction
|
8.8%
|
26.7%
|
28%
|
46%
|
|
Government
|
8.5%
|
11.7%
|
13%
|
12%
|
|
Transport,
Storage & Communication
|
7.0%
|
2.1%
|
3%
|
7%
|
|
Primary
Agriculture
|
7.0%
|
6.7%
|
9%
|
-
|
|
Wholesale,
Retail Trade, Restaurant and Hotel
|
6.1%
|
21.4%
|
33%
|
-
|
|
Export
Credit Refinancing
|
5.8%
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
Mining
and Quarrying
|
5.6%
|
5.7%
|
-
|
-
|
|
Finance,
Insurance, Real Estate & Business Activities
|
3.7%
|
0.7%
|
-
|
-
|
|
Education,
Health and Others
|
2.7%
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
Information
Technology
|
0.1%
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
Tourism
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
5%
|
|
Others
|
-
|
0.1%
|
-
|
8%
|
Source: annual reports
In terms of regional exposure:
|
Financial Year
|
Ended Dec 31, 2013 (FY13)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2012 (FY12)
|
Ended Dec 31, 2011 (FY11)
|
|
Malaysia
|
34.2%
|
28.1%
|
42%
|
|
East
Asia
|
31.6%
|
35.0%
|
33%
|
|
Central
Asia
|
3.4%
|
4.6%
|
-
|
|
South
Asia
|
2.1%
|
5.2%
|
6%
|
|
Oceania
|
6.5%
|
5.0%
|
2%
|
|
Middle
East
|
6.6%
|
9.3%
|
5%
|
|
Africa
|
3.7%
|
4.1%
|
5%
|
|
Europe
|
10.4%
|
7.1%
|
5%
|
|
Americas
|
1.4%
|
1.6%
|
2%
|
Source: annual reports
With the Asean Economic Community scheduled to be introduced next year, Datuk Adissadikin said that the focus will remain strongly in Asia but will have some diversification elsewhere too.
10. Transformation Plan
When Datuk Adissadikin was appointed to head Exim Bank in September 2010, he came up with his transformation plan to propel the growth of this bank forward. The transformation plan are divided into three phases (as for now):
- Phase 1 - "Putting the House in Order" - 2008 until 2010
- Phase 2 - "Accelerating Growth" - 2011 until 2012
- Phase 3 - "Realising the Vision" - 2013 until 2018
![]() |
| Source: Exim Bank |
Phase 1 was interesting. I remember Datuk Adissadikin told me that Phase 1 is about "cleaning up the mess in the bank." This is what I actually admire him -- he is a no-nonsense man, and he does not mind talking about the bank's painful history. This phase of transformation was where the bank took corrective action to stop its loan from bleeding badly (as reflected from its non-performing loans). As aptly stated in the presentation above, this phase is where the bank was building foundation for growth. Notice that Phase 1 of the transformation plan occurred during the global financial crisis.
Enter Phase 2, where the bank reconfigured business model and organisational framework. In this phase, the bank took many steps to improve its risks: operation and market.
In Phase 3, the bank aims to remain relevant and amplifying significance, which means that I constantly strive to achieve the best and distinguish itself from other commercial bank.
With these transformation plans in place, I have no doubt in Datuk Adissadikin's leadership to steer the bank in the right direction.
And interestingly, all of its annual reports are given specific name, possibly to reflect what had happened during a particular year, or its outlook.
- 2009 - Taking on the global challenge with you
- 2010 - Internal Strength, Global Outlook
- 2011 - Spreading Our Horizon
- 2012 - Transcending Beyond
- 2013 - Going the Distance
11. Going Forward
In an interview with me a while back, Datuk Adissadikin is very bullish on the potential growth of the banks.
He outlined below the strategic direction that the bank will be embarking.
![]() |
| Source: Exim Bank |
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